From 4448af032ab92397a0e81e9bb9ff6f8ee47b9a3e Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: jester Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2025 00:51:51 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] Add strategic direction document --- STRATEGY.md | 275 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 275 insertions(+) create mode 100644 STRATEGY.md diff --git a/STRATEGY.md b/STRATEGY.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..728c166 --- /dev/null +++ b/STRATEGY.md @@ -0,0 +1,275 @@ +# Strategic Direction + +## Executive Summary + +**Mission**: Bridge the OT/IT gap for small-to-mid manufacturers through edge-first industrial IoT solutions. + +**Vision**: Become the trusted partner for manufacturers who want modern visibility without cloud vendor lock-in. + +**Positioning**: "The OT/IT translator for manufacturers who value data sovereignty and predictable costs." + +## Market Opportunity + +### The Problem + +- **OT/IT Skills Gap**: Controls engineers don't understand cloud; cloud engineers are terrified of PLCs +- **Enterprise Solutions Too Expensive**: Siemens, Rockwell, GE solutions cost $50k-500k+ +- **Cloud Skepticism**: Manufacturing companies hesitant about AWS/Azure due to data sovereignty, vendor lock-in +- **Brownfield Challenges**: Legacy equipment needs connectivity but can't afford rip-and-replace + +### The Opportunity + +**Market Size:** +- Industrial IoT Platform Market: Growing at 13-47% CAGR +- Virtual PLC Market: $1.8B (2025) → $3.6B (2032) +- Digital Twin Market: $21B (2025) → $150B (2030) + +**Underserved Segment:** +- 20-100 employee manufacturers +- $10-100M annual revenue +- 1-5 production lines +- Aging infrastructure +- No dedicated IT staff + +**Market Gaps:** +- Enterprise solutions too expensive for SMB +- Cloud-first vendors don't address data sovereignty concerns +- Most MSPs lack OT expertise +- Virtual PLCs still <5% of market (huge whitespace) + +## Competitive Advantages + +### 1. Rare Skill Combination +- 13 years PLC programming (Allen-Bradley, Siemens) +- 4 years cloud engineering +- Speaks both OT and IT languages fluently + +### 2. Edge-First Architecture +- On-premise or customer hardware deployment +- No forced cloud migration +- Works offline (critical for manufacturing) +- Sub-10ms latency for control applications + +### 3. Bootstrap Economics +- No VC required +- Customer-funded growth model +- Start with $500 capital +- Scale with cash flow + +### 4. No AWS Conflict +- Positioned as complementary, not competitive +- Can integrate WITH AWS/Azure if customer wants +- Focus on edge processing layer +- Targets AWS non-customers (data sovereignty crowd) + +### 5. Platform Expertise +- LXC container experience from ZeroLagHub +- Multi-tenant architecture proven +- Can scale efficiently + +## Strategic Positioning + +### What We Are + +**"The Edge-First Industrial IoT Partner"** +- OT/IT integration specialist +- Edge monitoring and control +- Data sovereignty advocate +- Predictable cost alternative to cloud vendors + +### What We're NOT + +- Cloud platform replacement (we're edge-first) +- Enterprise software vendor (we're bootstrap/agile) +- Controls-only integrator (we bridge to IT/analytics) +- Hardware vendor (we're platform-agnostic) + +## Target Customer Profile + +### Ideal Customer Characteristics + +**Company Profile:** +- 20-100 employees +- $10-100M annual revenue +- Discrete manufacturing, food/bev, or packaging +- 1-5 production lines +- Some existing PLCs/SCADA +- Limited IT resources + +**Pain Points:** +- "We have no visibility into production" +- "Our data is trapped in PLCs" +- "We can't afford Siemens/Rockwell" +- "We don't trust cloud vendors with our data" +- "We need better OEE tracking" + +**Buying Triggers:** +- New plant manager wants KPIs +- Quality issues requiring root cause analysis +- Customer audit requirements +- Capital budget available ($15k-50k) +- Regulatory compliance needs + +**Decision Makers:** +- Plant Manager (primary) +- Maintenance Manager (influencer) +- Operations Director (budget holder) +- IT Manager (occasional gatekeeper) + +## Business Model Evolution + +### Phase 1: Consulting (Months 1-3) +- **Service**: OT/IT integration projects +- **Revenue**: $150-200/hour or $15k-40k per project +- **Purpose**: Cash flow, market validation, network building + +### Phase 2: Platform (Months 4-9) +- **Service**: Edge monitoring + consulting hybrid +- **Revenue**: $1k-2k/month recurring + project fees +- **Purpose**: Transition to recurring revenue, build infrastructure + +### Phase 3: Premium AI (Months 10-18) +- **Service**: Predictive maintenance, computer vision +- **Revenue**: $4k-8k/month premium tier +- **Purpose**: Differentiation, margin expansion, moat building + +## Competitive Strategy + +### Against Enterprise Vendors (Siemens, Rockwell, GE) + +**Their Strengths:** +- Brand recognition +- Comprehensive solutions +- Deep pockets +- Existing customer relationships + +**Our Response:** +- Target customers they ignore (too small) +- 10x faster deployment (weeks vs months) +- 10x lower cost ($20k vs $200k) +- More flexible (no vendor lock-in) + +### Against Cloud-First Vendors (AWS IoT, Azure) + +**Their Strengths:** +- Scalability +- Feature breadth +- Marketing budgets +- Integration ecosystem + +**Our Response:** +- Target data sovereignty conscious customers +- Edge-first (works offline) +- Predictable costs (no per-message fees) +- OT expertise (we understand PLCs) + +### Against Traditional MSPs + +**Their Strengths:** +- Existing relationships +- IT expertise +- Support infrastructure + +**Our Response:** +- OT expertise they lack +- Manufacturing-specific knowledge +- Can actually program PLCs +- Understand production environments + +## Growth Strategy + +### Year 1: Establish & Validate + +**Goals:** +- 10-15 customers +- $35k/month recurring revenue +- 5-10 case studies +- Network of 50+ manufacturing contacts + +**Tactics:** +- Personal network outreach +- LinkedIn content (OT/IT bridge positioning) +- Local ISA chapter participation +- Referral program + +### Year 2: Scale & Systemize + +**Goals:** +- 30-40 customers +- $80k-120k/month revenue +- 2-3 employees/contractors +- Standardized processes + +**Tactics:** +- Content marketing +- Partner with system integrators +- Attend trade shows (Pack Expo, Automate) +- Channel partnerships + +### Year 3: Expand & Dominate + +**Goals:** +- 60-80 customers +- $200k+/month revenue +- 5-8 team members +- Regional presence + +**Tactics:** +- Geographic expansion +- Vertical specialization +- Partner ecosystem +- Potential acquisition targets + +## Risk Mitigation + +### Key Risks + +1. **AWS Non-Compete Violation** + - Mitigation: Edge-first positioning, target non-AWS customers + +2. **Slow Customer Acquisition** + - Mitigation: Start with network, consulting cash flow buffer + +3. **Technical Complexity** + - Mitigation: Start simple (monitoring only), add features gradually + +4. **Competition from Established Players** + - Mitigation: Focus on underserved segment, move fast + +5. **Cash Flow During Build Phase** + - Mitigation: Consulting revenue funds platform development + +## Success Metrics + +### Phase 1 (Months 1-3) +- [ ] 2-3 completed consulting projects +- [ ] $20k-45k revenue generated +- [ ] 5+ discovery calls completed +- [ ] 1 case study published + +### Phase 2 (Months 4-9) +- [ ] First GTHost server deployed +- [ ] 5-8 recurring customers +- [ ] $10k-15k MRR achieved +- [ ] Multi-tenant architecture proven + +### Phase 3 (Months 10-18) +- [ ] GPU server operational +- [ ] 12-20 total customers +- [ ] $35k+ MRR achieved +- [ ] First contractor hired + +## Strategic Principles + +1. **Bootstrap Always**: Never take funding if avoidable +2. **Customer-Funded Growth**: Use their projects to build platform +3. **Edge-First Forever**: Cloud is optional, edge is mandatory +4. **OT/IT Bridge**: Always position as the translator, never just one side +5. **Slow is Smooth, Smooth is Fast**: Quality over speed +6. **Data Sovereignty**: Customer owns their data, always +7. **No Vendor Lock-In**: Platform-agnostic, standards-based +8. **Manufacturing-First**: Build for production environments, not IT labs + +--- + +*Last Updated: December 2025*