diff --git a/recommended-approach.md b/recommended-approach.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..620379c --- /dev/null +++ b/recommended-approach.md @@ -0,0 +1,440 @@ +# Recommended Approach: 3-Phase Bootstrap Plan + +## Overview + +**Motto**: "Slow is smooth, smooth is fast" + +**Philosophy**: Bootstrap with minimal capital, use customer revenue to fund platform development, transition to recurring revenue model. + +--- + +## Phase 1: Integration Consulting (Months 1-3) + +### Objective +Generate cash flow, validate market demand, build network of relationships. + +### Timeline +**Week 1-2**: Setup +**Week 3-4**: Outreach +**Week 5-8**: First pilot project +**Week 9-12**: Complete pilot, land second project + +### Services Offered +- OT/IT integration consulting +- PLC programming for data export +- Edge gateway setup (on customer hardware) +- MQTT/OPC UA configuration +- Grafana dashboard deployment +- Training and documentation + +### Revenue Model +- **Hourly**: $150-200/hour +- **Project**: $15k-40k (100-200 hours) +- **Retainer**: $2k-5k/month (optional support) + +### Infrastructure +**NONE** - Deploy on customer hardware: +- Raspberry Pi 4 or old industrial PC (customer buys) +- Ubuntu Server + Docker/LXC (free) +- Mosquitto MQTT + InfluxDB + Grafana (free, open source) +- Node-RED for PLC integration (free) + +### Capital Requirements +**Total**: $500 +- LLC filing: $100-300 +- Basic website (Carrd/WordPress): $0-200 +- Business cards: $50 +- LinkedIn Premium: $0 (optional) + +### Activities + +#### Week 1-2: Foundation +- [ ] Register LLC (1-2 hours, $100-300) +- [ ] Set up website (4-6 hours, $0-200) + - Service description + - Case study section (empty initially) + - Contact form + - Bio highlighting OT + cloud expertise +- [ ] Update LinkedIn profile (1 hour) + - "OT/IT Integration Consultant" + - Headline: "I help manufacturers bridge PLC data to dashboards" +- [ ] Create contact list (20+ from controls engineering days) + +#### Week 3-4: Outreach +- [ ] Email/call 20 contacts (5 per week) +- [ ] Message template: + > "Hey [Name], after 13 years programming PLCs, I spent the last 4 years learning cloud engineering. Now I'm helping manufacturers get visibility into production data without expensive cloud platforms. Know anyone struggling with this?" +- [ ] Target: 3-5 discovery calls +- [ ] Join local ISA chapter (optional) + +#### Week 5-8: First Pilot +- [ ] Land pilot project: $5k-10k (discounted) +- [ ] Scope: Single production line, basic monitoring + - PLC data collection (Modbus/OPC UA) + - MQTT broker on Raspberry Pi + - Grafana dashboards (3-5 views) + - Alert configuration +- [ ] Document EVERYTHING + - Before/after metrics + - Technical architecture + - Customer testimonial +- [ ] Deliverables: + - Working edge gateway + - 3-5 Grafana dashboards + - Alert rules configured + - 2-4 hours of training + - Documentation for maintenance + +#### Week 9-12: Validate & Scale +- [ ] Complete pilot project +- [ ] Get written testimonial +- [ ] Take photos/screenshots +- [ ] Write case study +- [ ] Publish to LinkedIn + website +- [ ] Ask pilot customer for 2-3 referrals +- [ ] Land second project at full price ($20k-40k) +- [ ] Begin prospecting for Phase 2 recurring customers + +### Success Metrics (Phase 1) +- [ ] 2-3 completed consulting projects +- [ ] $20k-45k revenue generated +- [ ] 5+ discovery calls completed +- [ ] 1-2 case studies published +- [ ] 10+ new LinkedIn connections +- [ ] 3-5 warm prospects for Phase 2 + +### Expected Outcomes +- **Revenue**: $20k-45k in 90 days +- **Profit**: ~$19k-43k (95% margin) +- **Network**: 20+ new manufacturing contacts +- **Validation**: Proven demand for services +- **Foundation**: Customer base for Phase 2 transition + +--- + +## Phase 2: Edge Monitoring Platform (Months 4-9) + +### Objective +Transition from project-based to recurring revenue, deploy multi-tenant infrastructure. + +### Timeline +**Month 4-6**: Build platform, convert 2-3 consulting clients +**Month 7-9**: Add 3-5 new monitoring customers, refine product + +### Services Offered +**Consulting** (continued, reduced): +- 1-2 projects/month for cash flow +- Integration work for monitoring customers + +**New - Monitoring Platform**: +- Edge monitoring as a service +- Setup + monthly subscription +- Remote management +- Alert management +- Data backup and retention + +### Revenue Model +**Hybrid**: +- Consulting: $10k-20k/month (declining) +- Monitoring setup fees: $5k-10k per customer +- Monitoring recurring: $0 → $10k/month (growing) + +### Infrastructure +**GTHost Dedicated Server #1:** +``` +Configuration: +├── 8 cores, 32GB RAM, 1TB SSD +├── Estimated cost: $100-150/month +├── Capacity: 8-10 customers +└── Revenue potential: $12k-30k/month +``` + +**Tech Stack:** +- Ubuntu Server 24 LTS +- LXC for container isolation (per customer) +- MQTT broker per container +- InfluxDB per container (or shared with DB per customer) +- Grafana (shared with customer-specific dashboards) +- Automated backup system +- Monitoring and alerting (UptimeRobot, Prometheus) + +### Capital Requirements +**Total**: ~$1,000 +- GTHost server: $100-150/month × 2 months +- Development time: Nights/weekends (sweat equity) +- Funded from Phase 1 consulting revenue + +### Activities + +#### Month 4-5: Platform Development +- [ ] Provision GTHost server ($5/day trial first) +- [ ] Build LXC container template + - MQTT broker (Mosquitto) + - InfluxDB instance + - Grafana user + dashboards + - Backup scripts +- [ ] Create provisioning automation + - New customer onboarding script + - Container creation + - Credential generation + - DNS/subdomain setup +- [ ] Build simple web portal + - Customer login + - Dashboard links + - Support ticket system + - Billing integration (Stripe) +- [ ] Set up monitoring + - Server health monitoring + - Customer container monitoring + - Alert system for failures +- [ ] Documentation + - Customer onboarding guide + - Internal runbook + - Support procedures + +#### Month 5-6: First Customers +- [ ] Approach 2-3 existing consulting clients +- [ ] Pitch: "I've built a monitoring platform. Want to be a pilot customer for $1k/month?" +- [ ] Deploy for first 2 customers +- [ ] Gather feedback, iterate +- [ ] Test backup/restore procedures +- [ ] Validate multi-tenant isolation +- [ ] Begin marketing monitoring service + +#### Month 7-9: Growth & Refinement +- [ ] Add 3-5 new monitoring customers +- [ ] Continue 1-2 consulting projects/month (cash flow) +- [ ] Refine platform based on feedback +- [ ] Build case studies (monitoring-specific) +- [ ] Automate more operations +- [ ] Document standard procedures +- [ ] Plan for second server (if needed) + +### Success Metrics (Phase 2) +- [ ] GTHost server deployed and stable +- [ ] 5-8 monitoring customers live +- [ ] $10k-15k MRR achieved +- [ ] Multi-tenant architecture proven +- [ ] 99.5%+ uptime maintained +- [ ] Customer churn <10% +- [ ] 3+ new case studies published + +### Expected Outcomes +- **Month 6 Revenue**: $17k ($15k consulting + $2k MRR) +- **Month 9 Revenue**: $20k ($10k consulting + $10k MRR) +- **Infrastructure Cost**: $150/month +- **Profit Margin**: 85-90% +- **Platform**: Production-ready, scalable +- **Foundation**: Ready for Phase 3 premium features + +--- + +## Phase 3: GPU-Powered AI Features (Months 10-18) + +### Objective +Add premium AI-powered features for differentiation and margin expansion. + +### Timeline +**Month 10-12**: Build AI infrastructure, launch premium tier +**Month 13-18**: Convert customers, add new premium customers + +### Services Offered +**Basic Tier** (existing): +- Edge monitoring +- Dashboards and alerts +- $1.5k-2k/month + +**Premium AI Tier** (new): +- Predictive maintenance +- Anomaly detection +- Computer vision quality inspection +- Advanced analytics +- $4k-8k/month + +### Revenue Model +**Fully Recurring**: +- Basic customers: $1.5k × 8-10 = $12k-15k/month +- Premium customers: $5k × 4-5 = $20k-25k/month +- Consulting (occasional): $5k/month +- **Total**: $37k-45k/month + +### Infrastructure +**Server #1** (Basic tier): +- 8 cores, 32GB, 1TB +- 8-10 customers +- $100-150/month + +**Server #2** (Premium AI tier): +``` +Configuration: +├── 16 cores, 64GB RAM +├── NVIDIA Tesla P4 8GB GPU +├── 2TB NVMe SSD +├── Estimated cost: $350-450/month +├── Capacity: 3-5 premium customers +└── Revenue potential: $15k-40k/month +``` + +### Capital Requirements +**Total**: ~$3,000 +- GPU server: $400/month × 3 months +- ML model development time +- Funded from Phase 2 profits + +### Activities + +#### Month 10-11: AI Infrastructure +- [ ] Provision GTHost server with Tesla P4 GPU +- [ ] Install ML frameworks + - TensorFlow or PyTorch + - Scikit-learn + - ONNX Runtime (optimized inference) +- [ ] Build predictive maintenance models + - Anomaly detection (vibration, temperature) + - Failure prediction + - Remaining useful life (RUL) +- [ ] Computer vision setup (if pursued) + - Object detection + - Quality inspection + - Defect classification +- [ ] Test GPU inference performance +- [ ] Create premium tier documentation + +#### Month 12: Premium Launch +- [ ] Select 2 customers to upgrade (beta pricing) +- [ ] Deploy AI features +- [ ] Gather data for model training +- [ ] Refine models based on customer data +- [ ] Measure ROI for customers +- [ ] Create case studies showing value + +#### Month 13-18: Scale Premium +- [ ] Convert 2-3 more customers to premium +- [ ] Market premium tier to prospects +- [ ] Hire first contractor ($3k-5k/month) + - Customer support + - Deployment assistance + - Basic troubleshooting +- [ ] Formalize processes +- [ ] Build sales pipeline +- [ ] Plan for additional servers if needed + +### Success Metrics (Phase 3) +- [ ] GPU server operational +- [ ] 4-6 premium tier customers +- [ ] $35k+ MRR total +- [ ] First employee/contractor hired +- [ ] 95%+ customer satisfaction +- [ ] 3+ AI-specific case studies +- [ ] ROI demonstrated for customers + +### Expected Outcomes +- **Month 18 Revenue**: $40k-50k/month +- **Infrastructure Cost**: $500-600/month (2 servers) +- **Contractor Cost**: $5k/month +- **Net Profit**: $34k-44k/month +- **Annual Run Rate**: $480k-600k +- **Positioning**: Premium AI-powered industrial IoT platform + +--- + +## Transition Strategy Between Phases + +### Phase 1 → Phase 2 +**Trigger**: When you have: +- 2-3 completed consulting projects +- $20k+ in the bank +- 2-3 customers willing to pilot monitoring + +**Transition**: +- Reduce consulting to 50% time +- Invest 50% time in platform development +- Use consulting cash to fund infrastructure +- Convert consulting customers to monitoring + +### Phase 2 → Phase 3 +**Trigger**: When you have: +- 5+ monitoring customers ($10k+ MRR) +- Consistent $20k+/month total revenue +- Stable platform with <5% churn +- Cash reserves to fund GPU server for 3 months + +**Transition**: +- Add GPU server (funded from Phase 2 profits) +- Build AI features +- Beta test with 2 willing customers +- Launch premium tier +- Hire first contractor to handle growth + +--- + +## Risk Mitigation + +### Phase 1 Risks +**Risk**: Can't find customers +**Mitigation**: 13 years of network, LinkedIn outreach, local ISA chapter + +**Risk**: Projects take too long +**Mitigation**: Scope small (40-80 hours max), resist feature creep + +**Risk**: Customers don't pay +**Mitigation**: 50% deposit upfront, milestone payments + +### Phase 2 Risks +**Risk**: Platform technical failures +**Mitigation**: Start with 2-3 customers, test thoroughly, backup systems + +**Risk**: Can't transition consulting customers +**Mitigation**: Offer discounted pilot pricing, add value not available before + +**Risk**: Infrastructure costs escalate +**Mitigation**: Multi-tenant architecture, start with basic GTHost config + +### Phase 3 Risks +**Risk**: AI features don't deliver value +**Mitigation**: Beta test with willing customers, measure ROI, iterate + +**Risk**: GPU costs too high +**Mitigation**: Start with 2-3 premium customers to fund server + +**Risk**: Can't hire good contractor +**Mitigation**: Use Upwork/Fiverr first, hire part-time before full-time + +--- + +## Key Success Factors + +1. **Start Small**: $500 capital, basic consulting +2. **Customer-Funded**: Use their money to build platform +3. **Validate First**: Consulting proves demand before platform build +4. **Recurring Focus**: Always transition to subscriptions when possible +5. **Edge-First**: Maintains AWS non-compete compliance +6. **Iterative**: Build → Test → Refine, don't try to be perfect +7. **Network Effects**: Each customer = 2-3 referrals +8. **Documentation**: Case studies critical for next phase + +--- + +## Timeline Summary + +| Month | Phase | Focus | Revenue | Profit | +|-------|-------|-------|---------|--------| +| 1-2 | 1 | Setup, first project | $5k | $4.5k | +| 3 | 1 | Second project | $20k | $19k | +| 4-5 | 2 | Platform dev | $17k | $16k | +| 6 | 2 | First monitoring customers | $20k | $19k | +| 9 | 2 | Growing MRR | $20k | $19k | +| 12 | 3 | Premium launch | $25k | $23k | +| 18 | 3 | Full premium | $40k | $34k | + +**Cumulative 18 months**: ~$350k revenue, ~$300k profit + +--- + +## Next Steps + +See `go-to-market.md` for detailed 90-day action plan. + +--- + +*Last Updated: December 2025*