venture/business-models.md

10 KiB

Business Model Options

Overview

This document evaluates all business model options considered for the industrial IoT venture, with analysis of viability, capital requirements, and strategic fit.


Description

Provide OT/IT integration consulting services to manufacturers on a project or hourly basis.

Services Offered

  • PLC programming for data export
  • Edge gateway setup (on customer hardware)
  • MQTT/OPC UA configuration
  • Grafana dashboard deployment
  • Cloud integration (AWS, Azure, GCP)
  • Training for customer teams

Revenue Model

  • Hourly: $150-200/hour
  • Project-based: $15k-40k per project (100-200 hours)
  • Small retainer: $2k-5k/month ongoing support

Economics

Capital Required: $500

  • LLC filing: $100-300
  • Basic website: $0-200
  • Business cards/marketing: $50-100

Time to First Revenue: 30-60 days

Year 1 Potential: $100k-200k (5-10 projects)

Advantages

Fast to revenue (30 days possible)
Minimal capital required
Validates market demand
Builds network and case studies
Customer-funded (use their hardware)
No infrastructure costs
Flexible schedule (works around full-time job)

Disadvantages

Time-for-money (limited scaling)
No recurring revenue
Project-based lumpy cash flow
Requires constant sales

Strategic Fit

Perfect for Phase 1: Generates cash, validates demand, builds relationships for future platform customers.


Description

Multi-tenant edge monitoring platform hosted on GTHost dedicated servers using LXC containers.

Services Offered

  • MQTT broker per customer
  • InfluxDB time-series database
  • Grafana dashboards
  • Alert management
  • Remote monitoring and support
  • Data backup and retention

Revenue Model

Service Tiers:

Tier Price/Month Features
Basic $1,500 10 sensors, 30 days retention
Pro $2,000 50 sensors, 90 days retention, mobile app
Enterprise $3,000+ Unlimited sensors, 1 year retention, custom

Setup Fee: $5k-10k one-time

Economics

Infrastructure Costs:

  • GTHost server (8 cores, 32GB, 1TB): $100-150/month
  • Capacity: 8-10 customers per server
  • Revenue per server: $12k-30k/month
  • Gross margin: 85-90%

Capital Required: $1,000

  • First 2 months GTHost funded from consulting revenue
  • Development time: nights/weekends

Break-even: 2-3 customers

Advantages

Recurring revenue (sticky)
Highly scalable (multi-tenant)
High margins (90%+)
Leverages LXC expertise from ZLH
Edge-first (no AWS conflict)
Can add customers to existing infrastructure

Disadvantages

Requires infrastructure investment
Technical complexity (multi-tenant)
Support overhead
Longer sales cycle than consulting

Strategic Fit

Perfect for Phase 2: Transitions consulting customers to recurring revenue, builds platform moat.


Option 3: Virtual PLC Management ⚠️ PHASE 2-3

Description

Deploy and manage soft PLCs (CODESYS) on customer hardware or GTHost servers.

Services Offered

  • Soft PLC runtime deployment
  • Remote management and monitoring
  • PLC programming services
  • Backup and disaster recovery
  • Redundancy and failover

Revenue Model

  • Setup: $10k-30k one-time
  • Monthly management: $3k-8k/month per site
  • Programming: $150-200/hour as needed

Economics

Infrastructure:

  • Runs on customer hardware OR
  • GTHost dedicated server: $150-300/month
  • 1-3 customers per server (if hosted)

Capital Required: $2,000-5,000

  • Development and testing
  • Pilot deployment costs

Advantages

Higher revenue per customer
Sticky (critical infrastructure)
Differentiated offering
Leverages controls expertise

Disadvantages

Higher liability (control systems)
Longer sales cycle (6-12 months)
Safety certification concerns
More technical risk

Strategic Fit

Good for Phase 2-3: Once platform proven, add premium control tier for select customers.


Description

Add AI-powered features using NVIDIA GPUs for predictive maintenance and computer vision.

Services Offered

  • Predictive maintenance models
  • Anomaly detection
  • Computer vision quality inspection
  • Advanced analytics dashboards
  • Custom ML model development

Revenue Model

Premium Tiers:

Tier Price/Month Features
AI Basic $4,000 Predictive maintenance, 20 assets
AI Pro $6,000 + Computer vision, 50 assets
AI Enterprise $8,000+ Custom models, unlimited assets

Setup Fee: $10k-20k one-time (model development)

Economics

Infrastructure:

  • GTHost server with Tesla P4: $350-450/month
  • Capacity: 3-5 premium customers
  • Revenue per server: $12k-40k/month
  • Gross margin: 85%+

Capital Required: $5,000

  • GPU server + development time
  • Funded from Phase 2 profits

Advantages

Premium pricing (high margins)
Differentiated (competitors can't match)
Defensible moat
High customer value
Multiple upsell paths

Disadvantages

Requires GPU infrastructure
More complex to build
Longer sales cycle
Need ML expertise (or partner)

Strategic Fit

Perfect for Phase 3: Once monitoring platform established, add AI tier for differentiation and margin expansion.


Description

Build comprehensive digital twins and virtual commissioning environments for manufacturers.

Extremely compute-intensive (high infrastructure costs)
Long sales cycles ($50k-150k projects, 6-18 months)
Competes with AWS Digital Twin services (non-compete risk)
Requires team (can't do solo)
Large enterprises only (SMB can't afford)
Complex 3D/physics simulation (outside core expertise)

Alternative Approach

IF pursued (far future):

  • Partner with simulation vendors
  • Focus on PLC testing environments (simpler)
  • Offer as premium add-on, not core service
  • Wait until Phase 3+ with team in place

Option 6: Brownfield Retrofit Projects HYBRID OPPORTUNITY

Description

Add sensors and connectivity to existing equipment through project-based work.

Services Offered

  • Wireless sensor installation (LoRaWAN, cellular)
  • Edge gateway setup
  • Data pipeline configuration
  • Integration with monitoring platform

Revenue Model

  • Project-based: $20k-50k per site
  • Maintenance: $500-2k/month per site

Economics

Capital Required: ~$0 (use customer hardware)
Project Duration: 2-4 weeks
Projects per Year: 6-12 possible

Advantages

Complements both consulting and platform
Natural upsell to monitoring service
Uses customer hardware (no capex)
Project-based cash injection

Disadvantages

Still time-for-money
Requires travel to site
Project-based (lumpy revenue)

Strategic Fit

Hybrid with Phases 1-2: Use as project revenue to fund platform development, convert to monitoring customers.


Rejected Options

MSP for General IT

Why NOT: Already saturated market, no OT differentiation, commoditized pricing

Cloud Platform Builder

Why NOT: Competes with AWS (non-compete violation), requires massive capital, too competitive

Hardware Sales

Why NOT: Low margins, logistics complexity, not our expertise

Traditional System Integrator

Why NOT: Project-only, doesn't leverage cloud expertise, mature competitive market


Phase 1 (Months 1-3): Consulting First

Revenue Model: Project + hourly
Target: $20k-45k in 90 days
Purpose: Cash flow, validation, network

Phase 2 (Months 4-9): Add Monitoring Platform

Revenue Model: Setup fees + recurring subscriptions
Target: $10k-15k MRR
Purpose: Recurring revenue, platform moat

Phase 3 (Months 10-18): Premium AI Features

Revenue Model: Premium subscriptions + consulting hybrid
Target: $35k+ MRR
Purpose: Differentiation, margin expansion


Revenue Mix Evolution

Month 3 (Phase 1)

  • Consulting projects: 100%
  • Recurring: 0%
  • Total: $20k-45k/month

Month 9 (Phase 2)

  • Consulting projects: 50%
  • Recurring monitoring: 50%
  • Total: $20k-30k/month

Month 18 (Phase 3)

  • Consulting projects: 20%
  • Recurring basic: 40%
  • Recurring premium: 40%
  • Total: $35k-50k/month

Critical Success Factors

What Makes This Work

  1. Start with Cash Flow: Consulting first = no runway stress
  2. Customer-Funded Platform: Their projects pay for infrastructure
  3. Recurring Revenue Focus: Transition to subscriptions ASAP
  4. Edge-First Always: Avoids AWS conflict, addresses data sovereignty
  5. Multi-Tenant Architecture: Scale efficiently with LXC expertise
  6. Premium Tier Later: Add GPU/AI only after base platform proven

What Would Make This Fail

  1. Starting with platform: No revenue, burning through capital
  2. Competing with AWS directly: Non-compete violation
  3. Trying to do everything: Scope creep, delayed launch
  4. Ignoring consulting revenue: Long path to profitability
  5. Building before validating: Wrong product-market fit

Financial Model Comparison

Model Year 1 Revenue Gross Margin Scalability Capital Needed Risk Level
Consulting Only $100k-200k 95% Low $500 Low
Platform Only $50k-120k 90% High $10k+ High
Hybrid (Recommended) $150k-300k 90% High $1,500 Medium
Digital Twins $0-50k 40% Medium $50k+ Very High
General MSP $50k-150k 60% Medium $5k High

Next Steps

See recommended-approach.md for detailed 3-phase execution plan.


Last Updated: December 2025